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  • Writer's picturePer Lindstedt

Merry Christmas and Happy New Year

Some other thoughts about predictions:

  1. Most predictions are extensions of historical data, but disruptive events shape the future.

  2. Most predictions overestimate the rate of change or are based on inflated expectations.

  3. People feel better making optimistic predictions than pessimistic ones and thereby tend to fool themselves.


Per och Ulf

Value Model

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